Everyone would love to get rich, especially with a small investment that is worth the potential payoff – that is if you win. 4D, Toto and Big Sweep – the three most popular lottery tickets sold at Singaporepools. Most of us has spend on them one way or another, but is it really worth the payoff? Do you know the odds of winning any of them when it is stacked against you?
Most households that I know of do spend on lottery at a range from $50 to $800 per month, depending on the “obsession” state they are in. And most of them defended their decision on buying these lottery as an entertainment expenses – just like any other movie tickets or karaoke gathering that you spend off with your friends or family every week.
Mark Lee (a Singaporean actor) once said in his movie: “Buying 4d/toto is a 50 – 50 chance, either you win or you lose. If you buy, then only you have a chance. If you don’t buy, then you have no chance”. I wonder if anyone thinks it’s true.
For me, I feel that it is ok if you buy them once in a while as many people said, it is an entertainment expenses more than anything. But if you start to buy them weeks after weeks, months after months and years after years, you do know that these amounts can add up substantially to what could have realistically make you richer. After all, should you get rich by buying lottery tickets one day, I am pretty sure that the money would not last and that you would get back to being poor again. That is because you do not have a system in place that will give you the advantage of being rich. Instead, you will go back to the old habits of depending on lottery tickets with odds heavily stacked against you. So for friends and aunties/uncles who are out there spending substantially on these lottery tickets, please rethink again. The odds are not just stacked slightly against you. It is stacked a whole lot more than what you think it is.
Toto
|
4D
|
Singapore Sweep
|
|
1st Prize
(Or Group 1 for Toto)
|
1 in 8,145,060
|
1 in 10,000
|
1 in 3,200,000
|
2nd Prize
(Or Group 2 for Toto)
|
1 in 1,357,510
|
1 in 10,000
|
1 in 3,200,000
|
3rd Prize
(Or Group 3 for Toto)
|
1 in 35,724
|
1 in 10,000
|
1 in 3,200,000
|
(Just for the sake of reference, the odds of getting a Royal Flush in Poker, on the first 5 cards, is around 650,000 to 1. So with the exception of 4D, you might be better off just playing Poker. Or betting on the PGA tour. The odds of a pro-golfer getting a hole-in-one are 5000 to 1, around seven times more likely than winning Group 3 Toto.)
ToTo is an expense for the hope of Dream Money of an instant millionaire. Minimum bet is $1.
$1 is not even enough to buy a cup of Kopi-O at KopiThiam; but enough to buy a Dream when ToTo Jack Pot prize money hit $3M or more.
Buy Toto only when it is $3M or more.
Hi Uncle CW8888
The problem with people is that they don't buy simply $1 to buy hope. Most people buy more than $1 – some system 7 while others system 8,9 or 10. And they repeat this process 2 times a week, 8 times a month and this goes continuosly over the course of their lifetime.
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Lottery purchases are thus called a "stupidity tax". How can buying it be a rational financial decision, then?
One way is to treat the game as an entertainment expense, much like one would spend on a movie ticket or a roller-coaster ride.
The purchase would be rational if one buys a lottery ticket instead of going to the movies, and spends less on the lottery than the movie.
But the money can be better spent. The time spent queuing for a ticket can easily go into studying one's investment options.
Amitabh
The utility theory of wealth explain this.
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